Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1110.235056 1275.059422 1464.113503 1698.828763 1984.961879 2325.762541 2.767421e+03
2024-12-29 883.658934 1093.764773 1360.296671 1730.437669 2243.108394 2947.093797 4.022445e+03
2025-01-05 739.566889 954.704369 1243.822279 1673.073840 2316.888782 3287.506146 4.950653e+03
2025-01-12 642.155155 856.374467 1157.587322 1629.550598 2385.896356 3621.931703 5.972271e+03
2025-01-19 567.371086 776.443656 1081.293510 1580.537483 2426.473730 3909.305962 7.008454e+03
2025-01-26 537.400093 755.946900 1087.313140 1656.975211 2684.789196 4639.476332 9.222949e+03
2025-02-02 505.970398 728.510086 1077.396952 1703.122946 2897.320442 5346.244837 1.176734e+04
2025-02-09 479.159572 704.604412 1068.995249 1748.763939 3117.301406 6139.237426 1.502952e+04
2025-02-16 446.945226 668.334077 1035.018469 1741.319175 3227.764630 6724.226454 1.812727e+04
2025-02-23 428.745190 652.978845 1034.512560 1796.215564 3482.498774 7754.702707 2.357678e+04
2025-03-02 409.142972 633.164892 1023.462100 1827.941576 3692.855125 8758.110370 3.003146e+04
2025-03-09 386.106549 605.267666 994.496198 1818.103682 3802.336091 9523.769852 3.644700e+04
2025-03-16 359.459588 570.522804 952.390036 1781.418814 3856.623330 10216.212019 4.401757e+04
2025-03-23 343.002178 552.815869 941.294050 1812.399227 4102.736249 11710.332394 5.969741e+04
2025-03-30 318.513420 518.242798 893.403955 1751.948741 4081.376292 12240.005183 7.025356e+04
2025-04-06 298.024028 489.437492 854.102344 1705.668964 4090.439895 12911.069149 8.433112e+04
2025-04-13 278.990259 461.922723 814.788225 1653.683989 4070.573986 13468.049522 9.973409e+04
2025-04-20 274.044575 460.635124 828.994554 1734.788312 4490.371432 16318.082225 1.584502e+05
2025-04-27 266.463170 453.594442 830.313773 1783.788328 4825.621108 19108.422535 2.446939e+05
2025-05-04 259.299126 446.763801 831.305777 1832.273583 5179.716189 22419.714873 3.962725e+05
2025-05-11 248.375151 431.619313 812.559648 1824.363276 5326.714421 24670.976784 5.738884e+05
2025-05-18 242.952794 427.168352 817.228305 1882.707111 5755.005255 29449.123433 1.088727e+06
2025-05-25 236.146258 419.363823 813.463856 1916.440630 6101.236440 34236.126760 2.108879e+06